Ultimate Oscillator

 

Buying Pressure (BP) = Current Close – Minimum (Current Low or Previous Close)

 

Ultimate Oscillator = 100 x [(4 x Cycle1) + (2 x Cycle2) + Cycle3] / (4 + 2 + 1)

 

Calculation

If:

·         Cycle 1=7

·         Cycle 2=14

·         Cycle 3=28

Then:

Ultimate Oscillator = 100 x [(4 x Average7) + (2 x Average14) + Average28] / (4 + 2 + 1)

 

Overbought and oversold signals:

In an uptrend:

Buy when the indicator rise above oversold line.

In a downtrend:

Sell when the indicator falls below the overbought line.

Divergence signals:

Buy signal normally at the end of a downtrend: Wait for the bullish divergence in the market. This means, the price should make a lower low, but the indicator should display a higher low.

Sell signal normally at the end of an uptrend: Wait for the bearish divergence. This means, the price should make a higher high, but the indicator should display a lower high.

Fundamental Analysis For 5 Assets (Alcoa, UPS, CAC, EURJPY, Acerinox)

 𝕃𝕖𝕥𝕤 𝕥𝕒𝕝𝕜 𝕒𝕓𝕠𝕦𝕥 𝕞𝕠𝕤𝕥 𝕡𝕣𝕠𝕗𝕚𝕥𝕒𝕓𝕝𝕖 𝕒𝕤𝕤𝕖𝕥𝕤 𝕚𝕟 𝕠𝕦𝕣 𝕡𝕠𝕣𝕥𝕗𝕠𝕝𝕚𝕠 𝕒𝕥 𝕥𝕙𝕖 𝕞𝕠𝕞𝕖𝕟𝕥!

#AA  

𝙎𝙞𝙣𝙘𝙚 𝙈𝙖𝙧𝙘𝙝 𝘼𝙡𝙘𝙤𝙖 𝙨𝙩𝙚𝙥𝙥𝙚𝙙 𝙪𝙥 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙗𝙖𝙩𝙩𝙡𝙚 𝙞𝙣 𝙜𝙧𝙚𝙚𝙣 𝙚𝙣𝙫𝙞𝙧𝙤𝙣𝙢𝙚𝙣𝙩 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙖𝙣𝙣𝙤𝙪𝙣𝙘𝙚𝙙 𝙞𝙩𝙨 𝙥𝙡𝙖𝙣 𝙩𝙤 𝙨𝙪𝙥𝙥𝙡𝙮 𝘼𝙪𝙙𝙞 𝙬𝙞𝙩𝙝 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙖𝙡𝙪𝙢𝙞𝙣𝙪𝙢 𝙪𝙨𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙖 𝙯𝙚𝙧𝙤-𝙘𝙖𝙧𝙗𝙤𝙣 𝙨𝙢𝙚𝙡𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙥𝙧𝙤𝙘𝙚𝙨𝙨. 𝘾𝙤𝙣𝙨𝙞𝙙𝙚𝙧𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙩𝙝𝙖𝙩 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙬𝙤𝙧𝙡𝙙 𝙞𝙨 𝙝𝙚𝙖𝙙𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙩𝙤𝙬𝙖𝙧𝙙𝙨 𝙪𝙨𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙢𝙤𝙧𝙚 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙢𝙤𝙧𝙚 𝙚𝙣𝙫𝙞𝙧𝙤𝙣𝙢𝙚𝙣𝙩𝙖𝙡𝙡𝙮 𝙛𝙧𝙞𝙚𝙣𝙙𝙡𝙮 𝙥𝙧𝙤𝙙𝙪𝙘𝙩𝙨, 𝙞𝙣𝙫𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙞𝙣 𝘼𝙡𝙘𝙤𝙖 𝙬𝙖𝙨 𝙖 𝙜𝙤𝙤𝙙 𝙘𝙝𝙤𝙞𝙘𝙚 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙡𝙡 𝙞𝙨. 

#FRA40 

𝙀𝙪𝙧𝙤𝙯𝙤𝙣𝙚 𝙢𝙖𝙣𝙪𝙛𝙖𝙘𝙩𝙪𝙧𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙛𝙪𝙩𝙪𝙧𝙚 𝙡𝙤𝙤𝙠𝙨 𝙗𝙧𝙞𝙜𝙝𝙩, 𝙛𝙞𝙣𝙖𝙣𝙘𝙞𝙖𝙡 𝙙𝙖𝙩𝙖 𝙡𝙞𝙠𝙚 𝙋𝙈𝙄 𝙖𝙧𝙚 𝙜𝙤𝙤𝙙. 𝙄𝙣𝙫𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙤𝙧 𝙨𝙚𝙣𝙩𝙞𝙢𝙚𝙣𝙩 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙨𝙩𝙧𝙤𝙣𝙜 𝙧𝙚𝙫𝙞𝙫𝙖𝙡 𝙞𝙣 𝙘𝙤𝙢𝙥𝙖𝙣𝙮 𝙚𝙖𝙧𝙣𝙞𝙣𝙜𝙨 𝙞𝙣 𝙁𝙧𝙖𝙣𝙘𝙚 𝙝𝙚𝙡𝙥𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝘾𝘼𝘾 𝙩𝙤 𝙧𝙞𝙨𝙚. 

#UPS

𝙐𝙋𝙎 𝙥𝙚𝙧𝙛𝙤𝙧𝙢𝙚𝙙 𝙬𝙚𝙡𝙡 𝙙𝙪𝙧𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙥𝙖𝙣𝙙𝙚𝙢𝙞𝙘 𝙗𝙚𝙘𝙖𝙪𝙨𝙚 𝙤𝙛 𝙨𝙩𝙧𝙤𝙣𝙜 𝙜𝙧𝙤𝙬𝙩𝙝 𝙞𝙣 𝙧𝙚𝙨𝙞𝙙𝙚𝙣𝙩𝙞𝙖𝙡 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙞𝙣𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙣𝙖𝙩𝙞𝙤𝙣𝙖𝙡 𝙙𝙚𝙡𝙞𝙫𝙚𝙧𝙞𝙚𝙨. 𝙒𝙚 𝙨𝙝𝙤𝙪𝙡𝙙 𝙣𝙤𝙬 𝙨𝙩𝙖𝙧𝙩 𝙩𝙤 𝙗𝙚 𝙖 𝙗𝙞𝙩 𝙢𝙤𝙧𝙚 𝙘𝙖𝙪𝙩𝙞𝙤𝙪𝙨 𝙖𝙨 𝙩𝙝𝙚𝙧𝙚 𝙨𝙝𝙤𝙪𝙡𝙙 𝙗𝙚 a 𝙘𝙤𝙣𝙨𝙤𝙡𝙞𝙙𝙖𝙩𝙞𝙤𝙣 𝙝𝙖𝙥𝙥𝙚𝙣𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙨𝙤𝙤𝙣.

#EURJPY

𝙅𝙋𝙔 𝙞𝙨 𝙤𝙣𝙚 𝙤𝙛 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙨𝙖𝙛𝙚 𝙝𝙖𝙫𝙚𝙣 𝙘𝙪𝙧𝙧𝙚𝙣𝙘𝙞𝙚𝙨 𝙙𝙪𝙧𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙛𝙞𝙣𝙖𝙣𝙘𝙞𝙖𝙡 𝙘𝙧𝙞𝙨𝙞𝙨. 𝙉𝙤𝙬 𝙩𝙝𝙖𝙩 𝙬𝙚 𝙖𝙧𝙚 𝙤𝙫𝙚𝙧𝙘𝙤𝙢𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙨𝙩𝙧𝙚𝙨𝙨𝙚𝙨 𝙛𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝙥𝙖𝙣𝙙𝙚𝙢𝙞𝙘, 𝙅𝙋𝙔 𝙬𝙞𝙡𝙡 𝙬𝙤𝙧𝙩𝙝 𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙨. 𝙤𝙣 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙤𝙩𝙝𝙚𝙧 𝙝𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙀𝙪𝙧𝙤𝙯𝙤𝙣𝙚 𝙨𝙝𝙤𝙬𝙨 𝙖 𝙜𝙤𝙤𝙙 𝙧𝙚𝙘𝙤𝙫𝙚𝙧𝙮. 𝙏𝙝𝙚 𝙤𝙪𝙩𝙘𝙤𝙢𝙚 𝙞𝙨 𝙤𝙗𝙫𝙞𝙤𝙪𝙨, 𝙬𝙚 𝙨𝙩𝙖𝙮 𝙗𝙪𝙡𝙡𝙞𝙨𝙝 𝙤𝙣 $𝙀𝙐𝙍𝙅𝙋𝙔

#ACX.MC

𝘼𝙘𝙚𝙧𝙞𝙣𝙤𝙭, 𝙎.𝘼. 𝙞𝙨 𝙖 𝙨𝙩𝙖𝙞𝙣𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙨 𝙨𝙩𝙚𝙚𝙡 𝙢𝙖𝙣𝙪𝙛𝙖𝙘𝙩𝙪𝙧𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙘𝙤𝙣𝙜𝙡𝙤𝙢𝙚𝙧𝙖𝙩𝙚 𝙜𝙧𝙤𝙪𝙥 𝙗𝙖𝙨𝙚𝙙 𝙞𝙣 𝙎𝙥𝙖𝙞𝙣. 𝘼𝙛𝙩𝙚𝙧 𝙏𝙧𝙪𝙢𝙥 𝙩𝙖𝙧𝙞𝙛𝙛 𝙥𝙡𝙖𝙣𝙨, 𝙖𝙡𝙢𝙤𝙨𝙩 𝙖𝙡𝙡 𝙤𝙛 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙀𝙪𝙧𝙤𝙥𝙚𝙖𝙣 𝙨𝙩𝙚𝙚𝙡 𝙢𝙖𝙠𝙚𝙧𝙨 𝙗𝙚𝙣𝙚𝙛𝙞𝙩𝙩𝙚𝙙 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙚𝙭𝙥𝙚𝙧𝙞𝙚𝙣𝙘𝙚𝙙 𝙨𝙤𝙢𝙚 𝙠𝙞𝙣𝙙 𝙤𝙛 𝙗𝙤𝙤𝙨𝙩. 𝙒𝙚 𝙝𝙖𝙫𝙚 𝙗𝙤𝙪𝙜𝙝𝙩 𝙩𝙝𝙚𝙨𝙚 𝙤𝙣 𝙩𝙞𝙢𝙚. 𝙄 𝙩𝙝𝙞𝙣𝙠 𝙬𝙚 𝙨𝙝𝙤𝙪𝙡𝙙 𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙡𝙡 𝙝𝙤𝙡𝙙 𝙤𝙣𝙩𝙤 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙨𝙩𝙤𝙘𝙠𝙨 𝙖𝙨 𝙣𝙤𝙬 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙚𝙘𝙤𝙣𝙤𝙢𝙞𝙘 𝙧𝙚𝙘𝙤𝙫𝙚𝙧𝙮 𝙢𝙖𝙮 𝙗𝙤𝙤𝙨𝙩 𝙩𝙝𝙚𝙨𝙚 𝙢𝙤𝙧𝙚.

ℍ𝕒𝕡𝕡𝕪 𝕥𝕣𝕒𝕕𝕚𝕟𝕘!

Typical Price

 

Typical Price is an approximate arithmetic average. Some people call this a Pivot point

How to calculate:

High: H

Low: L

Some people use this Open: O      TP= (H+L+O+C)/4

Close: C

The formula is as below:

TP= (H+L+C)/3

Strategy:

Combine this with a moving average.

Signal: Every time TP crosses above MA it gives us a buy signal

A TP crossing below the MA produces a sell signal.

True Range

 True range is different with the price range.

To calculate price range, we only need to find the distance between high and low during a specific time.

But to calculate True range we should find the biggest distance between high(H), Low(L) and Previous close (Pc).

1. Previous bar’s close (C.1)
2. Current bar’s high (H)
3. Current bar’s low (L)

True range is not a very useful indicator, however Average True Range is widely used.

You can find more information about ATR here.

Active or passive investment

Active or passive investment. 

Which one is better?

I think we should have a mix.

Actually, this is the best way to have and manage a very diversified portfolio. 

We can have a core long-term investment including a mix of different assets like tech, metal base, travel, transport, etc.

And then for the active part of the portfolio monitor and analyze a few markets based on what is trending. The active part is short-term and will change from time to time. For example, if you have tech stock sticks as active investment and after a few months Tech reaches a stop then we may trade other markets like travel, etc.

This is very similar to the core-satellite strategy.

Asset allocation

Is diversification enough to achieve the investment/trading goals?

No! You should not go and invest in a 1000 different stocks and think thus is the best approach. 

Asset allocation is another important part of a good strategy. 

To allocate your money towards different assets, you should consider the following:

   Your risk tolerance 

   Targeted performance 

   Meeting your investment wealth objects.( maybe more money in your pocket)

Strategically you should think long term : 

This means you should decide which asset classes you want to invest in and how much.

Example:

You may have 50% Stocks 

40% bonds and 10% cash long term

Tactically you may change the allocation to meet short term goals. These can be achieved by taking advantage of temporary market situations. 

Example:

Asset manager may realise that stock will underperform in short term then changes the allocation in short-term to achieve wealth objectives. 

They may decide to change the allocation in short term to 30% Stocks 

50% bonds and 20% cash(Or Cryptocurrencies or FOREX)

#forex 

#gold

Triple Exponential Average (TRIX)

 

Triple Exponential Average (TRIX)

·       TRIX is an Oscillator: Oscillates around zero

o   Overbought if it is above zero - I do not like this definition!

o   Oversold when it is below zero - I do not like this definition!

·       When TRIX is used as a momentum indicator

o   Positive value means the momentum is increasing.

o   Below zero line suggests the momentum decreasing.

·       When TRIX is used as a trend indicator

o   More time staying above the zero means uptrend.

o   More time below the zero line means downtrend.

·       Signals

o   Many analysts believe that when the TRIX crosses above the zero line it gives a buy signal, and when it closes below the zero line, it gives a sell signal.

o   I prefer combining TRIX with a moving average with smaller time period

§  Buy only if in an uptrend and you see the TRIX crosses above MA

§  Sell only if in a downtrend and you see the MA crosses above TRIX

·       Divergence

o   A divergences between price and TRIX can indicate significant turning points in the market.

Time Series Forecast Indicator (TSF)

 The Time Series Forecast tries to calculate a best-fit line over a specified time period using Linear Regression. This line is then plotted forward for a user-defined time period.

I use this in an identical way as I use 2 moving average indicators.

So the same setups will be used here. You can watch the video for how to use moving averages here .

The advantages of using TSFs over MAs are:

1. Moving average has more delays.
2. TFS also tries to forecast the price.